Monthly Archives: May 2020

Machine learning projection model for Covid-19

Posted on May 31, 2020 by colinmathers

Youyang Gu, an independent data scientist, has created a statistical projection model for Covid-19 (https://covid19-projections.com/) that uses machine learning techniques to fit a classical SEIR infectious disease model to the data for daily confirmed cases and deaths, taking into account … Continue reading →

Posted in Global health trends, Projections | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Police killings in the USA

Posted on May 30, 2020 by colinmathers

The current protests in the USA made me curious to take a look at police killing rates compared to other countries. Wikipedia summarizes available statistics for most recent years, and I did some spot checks of the primary sources. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Country progress to 9 May in controlling COVID-19 epidemics

Posted on May 10, 2020 by colinmathers

I downloaded the latest COVID-19 data for reported deaths and confirmed cases from Johns Hopkins this morning to see whether the data supports the relaxation of social isolation that is starting to happen in many countries. The USA now has … Continue reading →

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COVID-19 projections and reality

Posted on May 6, 2020 by colinmathers

On 27th April, I posted some short-run projections of COVID-19 cases and deaths. The plots below show how the daily new cases per million population and deaths per million population compare with reality (at least the confirmed case rates and … Continue reading →

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