Category Archives: Projections

Future life expectancy in 35 industrialized countries: projections to year 2030

Today, the Lancet published our study projecting life expectancy trends to 2030 for 35 countries: http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(16)32381-9/abstract Life expectancy at birth is projected to exceed 90 years for Korean women in 2030, a level of average life expectancy many thought impossible … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Child deaths in 2015: much accomplished, but more to do

In 2000, world leaders agreed on the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). MDG 4 called for a two-thirds reduction in the under-5 mortality rate between 1990 and 2015. Today the UN Interagency Group on Child Mortality Estimation (UN-IGME), which my team … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections, World Health Organization | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Ending preventable child deaths by 2030

Trend data for causes of child death are crucial to inform priorities for improving child survival by and beyond 2015. With academic collaborators at Johns Hopkins University, London School of Hygiene and Tropical medicine and Edinburgh University, we have just … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections, World Health Organization | Tagged , , , | 1 Comment

Premature death can be reduced by 40% in 20 years!

A paper by 16 international co-authors published last Friday in the Lancet, suggests that, with sustained international efforts, the number of premature deaths could be reduced by 40% over the next two decades (2010 – 2030), halving under – 50 … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Reducing six modifiable risk factors could prevent 37 million deaths from chronic diseases over 15 years.

Reducing or curbing just six modifiable risk factors—tobacco use, harmful alcohol use, salt intake, high blood pressure and blood sugar, and obesity—to globally-agreed target levels could prevent more than 37 million premature deaths over 15 years, from the four main … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections, Publications | Leave a comment

Global trends and projections for causes of death: implications for longevity

Since 1990, global life expectancy has increased 3 years per decade. Life expectancy at older ages for both sexes has also increased, particularly since 1970, in many developed countries. This trend is most striking in data from my own country … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections | Leave a comment

Road deaths in developing countries projected to nearly double by 2030

WHO estimates that the number of deaths globally will reach nearly 2m a year by 2030, up from 1.3m now, according to estimates and projections I prepared for the Global Status Report on Road Safety 2013 with the Violence and … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections, World Health Organization | Leave a comment