Category Archives: Projections

Reducing six modifiable risk factors could prevent 37 million deaths from chronic diseases over 15 years.

Reducing or curbing just six modifiable risk factors—tobacco use, harmful alcohol use, salt intake, high blood pressure and blood sugar, and obesity—to globally-agreed target levels could prevent more than 37 million premature deaths over 15 years, from the four main … Continue reading

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Global trends and projections for causes of death: implications for longevity

Since 1990, global life expectancy has increased 3 years per decade. Life expectancy at older ages for both sexes has also increased, particularly since 1970, in many developed countries. This trend is most striking in data from my own country … Continue reading

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Road deaths in developing countries projected to nearly double by 2030

WHO estimates that the number of deaths globally will reach nearly 2m a year by 2030, up from 1.3m now, according to estimates and projections I prepared for the Global Status Report on Road Safety 2013 with the Violence and … Continue reading

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