Tag Archives: coronavirus

Vaccination and the COVID Delta variant

The COVID Delta variant (B.1.617.2), which started spreading widely in India last October, is highly transmissible and might cause more severe illness and hence death. It has spread to many countries and is now the dominant strain in the UK. … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

New estimates of total global COVID-19 deaths from IHME

A few days ago, the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) released estimates of total COVID-19 deaths for countries based on comparisons of total deaths from all causes during the pandemic period with the expected total deaths based on … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Switzerland: COVID-19 situation and vaccine rollout

Switzerland has fully vaccinated 8% of the population, somewhat ahead of France and Germany and some other EU countries (see first figure). For some reason, the percent of people who have received at least one vaccine is no higher than … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

What are the risks of the AstraZeneca vaccine?

Currently, several EU countries are suspending use of the AstraZeneca vaccine, or recommending it not be used in various younger age groups, due to reports of blood clot risks. Australia has decided to delay rollout of vaccination for younger adults … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

A Covid Performance Index for countries

An Australian think-tank, the Lowy Institute has produced a Covid Performance Index and used it to examine the impact of geography, political systems, economic development and population size on the Covid-19 outcomes around the world. The COVID Performance Index compiled … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic

Today, I took another look at the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic using data on confirmed cases downloaded from the Johns Hopkins University CCSE data repository. This post focuses mostly on western European countries, with a few others like … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

An update on coronavirus in Geneva and Victoria

Switzerland currently bans entry from countries with more than 60 new infections per 100,000 population in the last 14 days. Geneva passed that threshold on 27th July, and passed 100 new cases per 100,000 on 1 August. So if Geneva … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Covid-19: which countries are succeeding and not succeeding?

There is now sufficient data on social distancing, lockdown, and other measures that researchers are starting to assess the effectiveness of these measures. The July 4th edition of The Economist has an article summarizing what is becoming clear.  Extensive testing … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

An out-of-control pandemic in most world regions

I downloaded the Covid-19 data up to 5 July from the JHU Github today and plotted smoothed new cases per day (average over last 7 days) as rates per million population by world region. The dramatic difference in trajectories for … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Two different pandemics: the USA and Europe

The trajectories of COVID-19 have been dramatically different in the USA and Europe. Currently there are close to 30,000 new cases per day in the USA, compared with around 3,000 per day in the European Union (and around 20 per … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment