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Tag Archives: COVID-19
A Covid Performance Index for countries
An Australian think-tank, the Lowy Institute has produced a Covid Performance Index and used it to examine the impact of geography, political systems, economic development and population size on the Covid-19 outcomes around the world. The COVID Performance Index compiled … Continue reading
Are the Lancet authorship criteria adequate?
In May, the Lancet published a peer-reviewed study claiming to analyse data from nearly 15,000 patients who had received the drug hydroxychloroquine for treatment of Covid-19. The study concluded that patients who received the drug were dying at a higher … Continue reading
The second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic
Today, I took another look at the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic using data on confirmed cases downloaded from the Johns Hopkins University CCSE data repository. This post focuses mostly on western European countries, with a few others like … Continue reading
Posted in Global health trends
Tagged Australia, confirmed case rates, coronavirus, country comparisons, COVID-19, pandemic, Switzerland, USA
1 Comment
An update on coronavirus in Geneva and Victoria
Switzerland currently bans entry from countries with more than 60 new infections per 100,000 population in the last 14 days. Geneva passed that threshold on 27th July, and passed 100 new cases per 100,000 on 1 August. So if Geneva … Continue reading
Posted in Global health trends
Tagged Australia, confirmed case rates, coronavirus, COVID-19, Geneva, Switzerland, Victoria
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Covid-19: which countries are succeeding and not succeeding?
There is now sufficient data on social distancing, lockdown, and other measures that researchers are starting to assess the effectiveness of these measures. The July 4th edition of The Economist has an article summarizing what is becoming clear. Extensive testing … Continue reading
An out-of-control pandemic in most world regions
I downloaded the Covid-19 data up to 5 July from the JHU Github today and plotted smoothed new cases per day (average over last 7 days) as rates per million population by world region. The dramatic difference in trajectories for … Continue reading
Posted in Global health trends
Tagged confirmed case rates, coronavirus, COVID-19, pandemic
2 Comments
Two different pandemics: the USA and Europe
The trajectories of COVID-19 have been dramatically different in the USA and Europe. Currently there are close to 30,000 new cases per day in the USA, compared with around 3,000 per day in the European Union (and around 20 per … Continue reading
Posted in Global health trends
Tagged coronavirus, COVID-19, European Union, pandemic, Switzerland, United States, USA
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Imperial study estimates 3.1 million deaths averted by the lockdown in Europe
I’ve stopped doing my own graphs to check trends for coronavirus. The 91-divoc.com website has added daily cases and daily deaths time series as well as moving 7-day average time trends to its visualizations, and has plots for countries for … Continue reading
Posted in Global health trends
Tagged coronavirus, country comparisons, COVID-19, Europe, pandemic, Switzerland
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Machine learning projection model for Covid-19
Youyang Gu, an independent data scientist, has created a statistical projection model for Covid-19 (https://covid19-projections.com/) that uses machine learning techniques to fit a classical SEIR infectious disease model to the data for daily confirmed cases and deaths, taking into account … Continue reading
Posted in Global health trends, Projections
Tagged coronavirus, COVID-19, machine learning, pandemic, Projections, SEIR model
2 Comments
Country progress to 9 May in controlling COVID-19 epidemics
I downloaded the latest COVID-19 data for reported deaths and confirmed cases from Johns Hopkins this morning to see whether the data supports the relaxation of social isolation that is starting to happen in many countries. The USA now has … Continue reading
Posted in Global health trends
Tagged confirmed case rates, coronavirus, COVID-19, pandemic
3 Comments