Category Archives: Global health trends

The second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic

Today, I took another look at the second wave of the Covid-19 pandemic using data on confirmed cases downloaded from the Johns Hopkins University CCSE data repository. This post focuses mostly on western European countries, with a few others like … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

The climate crisis has not gone away

The return of the summer wildfires in California reminds us that the climate crisis has not gone away just because there is a pandemic. The USA has recently recorded the hottest ever measured temperature of 54.1 C (130 F) in … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

An update on coronavirus in Geneva and Victoria

Switzerland currently bans entry from countries with more than 60 new infections per 100,000 population in the last 14 days. Geneva passed that threshold on 27th July, and passed 100 new cases per 100,000 on 1 August. So if Geneva … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Variations in cultural values across 105 countries in 2019

Working for the World Health Organization over the last 20 years and dealing with national health authorities, I’ve been quite fascinated by the variations across cultures and countries in values and beliefs, and the huge influence they have on willingness … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections | Tagged , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Drug overdose deaths – another exceptional US epidemic

Earlier this week, CDC released provisional figures for drug overdose deaths in the USA in 2019. They estimate almost 72,000 deaths, the highest annual number yet seen. Initially driven by prescription opioid painkillers, users migrated first to heroin and then … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, World Health Organization | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Covid-19: which countries are succeeding and not succeeding?

There is now sufficient data on social distancing, lockdown, and other measures that researchers are starting to assess the effectiveness of these measures. The July 4th edition of The Economist has an article summarizing what is becoming clear.  Extensive testing … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

An out-of-control pandemic in most world regions

I downloaded the Covid-19 data up to 5 July from the JHU Github today and plotted smoothed new cases per day (average over last 7 days) as rates per million population by world region. The dramatic difference in trajectories for … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , | 2 Comments

Two different pandemics: the USA and Europe

The trajectories of COVID-19 have been dramatically different in the USA and Europe. Currently there are close to 30,000 new cases per day in the USA, compared with around 3,000 per day in the European Union (and around 20 per … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Imperial study estimates 3.1 million deaths averted by the lockdown in Europe

I’ve stopped doing my own graphs to check trends for coronavirus. The 91-divoc.com website has added daily cases and daily deaths time series as well as moving 7-day average time trends to its visualizations, and has plots for countries for … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends | Tagged , , , , , | Leave a comment

Machine learning projection model for Covid-19

Youyang Gu, an independent data scientist, has created a statistical projection model for Covid-19 (https://covid19-projections.com/) that uses machine learning techniques to fit a classical SEIR infectious disease model to the data for daily confirmed cases and deaths, taking into account … Continue reading

Posted in Global health trends, Projections | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments